{
    "id": 36623,
    "date": "2024-09-22T09:14:47",
    "date_gmt": "2024-09-22T09:14:47",
    "guid": {
        "rendered": "https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/?p=36623"
    },
    "modified": "2024-09-22T09:27:55",
    "modified_gmt": "2024-09-22T09:27:55",
    "slug": "obrestne-mere-globalno-gospodarstvo-in-prelomni-trenutki",
    "status": "publish",
    "type": "post",
    "link": "https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/en\/2024\/09\/22\/obrestne-mere-globalno-gospodarstvo-in-prelomni-trenutki\/",
    "title": {
        "rendered": "Obrestne mere, globalno gospodarstvo in prelomni trenutki"
    },
    "content": {
        "rendered": "<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"36623\" class=\"elementor elementor-36623\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6a45beb e-flex e-con-boxed cmsmasters-block-default e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6a45beb\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4b8fb60 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"4b8fb60\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 25-07-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<p>Ko globalno gospodarstvo vstopa v obdobje nenehnih nihanj in geopoliti\u010dnih negotovosti, se vpra\u0161anje, kako najbolje uravnote\u017eiti gospodarsko rast in stabilnost, postavlja v ospredje. V zadnjih desetletjih so centralne banke prevzele osrednjo vlogo pri oblikovanju gospodarskih tokov z uporabo obrestnih mer kot klju\u010dno orodje za nadzor nad inflacijo, gospodarsko rastjo in finan\u010dno stabilnostjo. Vendar pa ti ukrepi, \u010deprav tehni\u010dno dodelani, odpirajo \u0161tevilna filozofska in eti\u010dna vpra\u0161anja: Kje je meja med intervencijo in naravnim razvojem gospodarstva? Ali lahko globalno gospodarstvo kljubuje pritiskom centraliziranega nadzora? Ali smo ujeti v za\u010darani krog, kjer postaja politika obrestnih mer neizbe\u017ena re\u0161itev za vsako te\u017eavo, vendar hkrati tudi vir novih te\u017eav?<\/p><h2>Zgodovinski pregled: pretekli cikli in dana\u0161nji svet<\/h2><p>Skozi zgodovino so gospodarske krize in recesije pogosto spremljali preobrati v monetarni politiki. Od Velike depresije v 1930-ih, do finan\u010dne krize leta 2008, so centralne banke v klju\u010dnih trenutkih zni\u017eale obrestne mere, da bi spodbudile gospodarsko aktivnost in zmanj\u0161ale brezposelnost. Vendar pa je vsak tovrsten ukrep postavil vpra\u0161anja o dolgoro\u010dnih posledicah tak\u0161nih intervencij.<\/p><p>V 1990-ih letih je ameri\u0161ki Federal Reserve, pod vodstvom Alana Greenspana, uspe\u0161no upravljal z obrestnimi merami, da bi zmanj\u0161al inflacijo, ne da bi pri tem povzro\u010dil recesijo. To obdobje velja za eno najbolj uspe\u0161nih v zgodovini nadzora nad inflacijo. Toda ali je bilo resni\u010dno uspe\u0161no, ali je samo odlo\u017eilo neizogibne strukturne te\u017eave?<\/p><p>Danes, kot ka\u017eejo podatki iz let 2022 in 2023, smo ponovno pri\u010da sinhroniziranim dvigom obrestnih mer po svetu. A kljub dramati\u010dnim dvigom teh mer, ki bi jih v preteklosti povezovali z gospodarskimi zlomi, svetovno gospodarstvo ni povsem klonilo. Ali to pomeni, da je sedanji gospodarski sistem bolj odporen? Ali pa smo le \u0161e bolj pogreznjeni v iluzijo varnosti, ki jo omogo\u010dajo centralni ban\u010dni ukrepi?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7ecf0c2 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"7ecf0c2\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.23.0 - 25-07-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-image{text-align:center}.elementor-widget-image a{display:inline-block}.elementor-widget-image a img[src$=\".svg\"]{width:48px}.elementor-widget-image img{vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" 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https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-10x10.webp 10w\" srcset=\"https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-30x30.webp 30w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-12x12.webp 12w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-260x260.webp 260w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-100x100.webp 100w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-20x20.webp 20w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb-10x10.webp 10w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.32-An-image-showing-a-central-bank-building-as-a-key-visual-element-with-a-graph-of-interest-rates-next-to-it-depicting-rising-and-falling-lines-to-symb.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dae75e3 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"dae75e3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>Obrestne mere in \u010dlove\u0161ka narava: Iskanje ravnovesja med stabilnostjo in kaosom.<\/h2><p>Obrestne mere niso le ekonomski kazalniki. Predstavljajo tudi globlje filozofsko vpra\u0161anje o \u010dlove\u0161ki naravi in na\u0161i te\u017enji k nadzoru. Na\u0161e gospodarstvo odra\u017ea \u010dlove\u0161ko \u017eeljo po ravnovesju med stabilnostjo in kaosom. Ko se inflacija dvigne, vstopimo v obdobje negotovosti; ko centralne banke dvignejo obrestne mere, da bi jo nadzorovale, se sku\u0161amo vrniti k stabilnosti. Toda ali ta neprestana prizadevanja po nadzoru vodijo do trajnega ravnovesja ali le odlagajo neizbe\u017eni padec v kaos?<\/p><p>Zgodovina nas u\u010di, da so cikli dvigov in zni\u017eanj obrestnih mer pogosto povezani z gospodarskimi preobrati. Vsaki\u010d, ko se zdi, da smo na\u0161li ravnote\u017eje, pride nova kriza, ki razkrije, kako krhki so na\u0161i ekonomski sistemi. Kot je pokazala finan\u010dna kriza leta 2008, so lahko nevidni tokovi, ki so nas prej gnali k rasti, prav tisti, ki nas potisnejo v propad.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bba4ff3 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"bba4ff3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--30x30.webp\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-36629 cmsmasters_img cmsmasters-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" 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https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--12x12.webp 12w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--260x260.webp 260w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--100x100.webp 100w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--20x20.webp 20w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008--10x10.webp 10w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.34-A-visualization-of-economic-cycles-showing-key-historical-economic-downturns-including-icons-or-representations-of-the-Great-Depression-and-the-2008-.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8889e0e cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8889e0e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>Globalno gospodarstvo in prihodnost: Ali je gospodarstvo preveliko, da bi propadlo?<\/h2><p>V zadnjih desetletjih smo vse bolj pri\u010da globalizaciji in medsebojni povezanosti gospodarstev. Ameri\u0161ka ekonomija je klju\u010den igralec, a njene odlo\u010ditve vplivajo na celoten svet. Ko ameri\u0161ka centralna banka dvigne obrestne mere, to vpliva na cene blaga v Evropi, brezposelnost v Aziji in trge v Ju\u017eni Ameriki. Ali smo danes tako prepleteni, da je globalno gospodarstvo postalo preveliko, da bi propadlo?<\/p><p>Svetovna banka in Mednarodni denarni sklad sta leta 2022 opozorila na tveganje globalne recesije. A hkrati IMF napoveduje, da bo svetovna rast dosegla 3,2 %, kar je presenetljivo pozitivno. Ali smo na\u0161li na\u010din, kako izkoristiti mo\u010d centralnih bank za ustvarjanje stabilnega in trajnostnega svetovnega gospodarstva, ali pa smo le na robu nove krize, ki bo \u0161e bolj dramati\u010dna?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-215a745 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"215a745\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--30x30.webp\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-36628 cmsmasters_img cmsmasters-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" 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srcset=\"https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--30x30.webp 30w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--300x300.webp 300w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--150x150.webp 150w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--768x768.webp 768w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--12x12.webp 12w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--260x260.webp 260w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--600x600.webp 600w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--100x100.webp 100w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--20x20.webp 20w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent--10x10.webp 10w, https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.36-An-artistic-representation-of-a-philosopher-king-wearing-a-crown-symbolizing-central-banks-surrounded-by-icons-such-as-a-balance-scale-to-represent-.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d8c854e cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"d8c854e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>Ali je mogo\u010de nadzirati nepredvidljivo?<\/h2><p>Filozofsko vpra\u0161anje, ki izhaja iz trenutnih gospodarskih razmer, je: ali lahko \u010dlove\u0161tvo zares nadzira nepredvidljive sile? Obrestne mere so le en vidik tega prizadevanja po nadzoru nad kaoti\u010dnim svetom. Toda ali lahko s tem orodjem resni\u010dno obvladamo gospodarstvo, ki je nelo\u010dljivo povezano z nepredvidljivimi \u010dlove\u0161kimi in naravnimi silami?<\/p><p>Zgodovina nas u\u010di, da cikli vzponov in padcev nikoli ne izginejo. \u010ceprav so dana\u0161nje centralne banke oboro\u017eene z bolj\u0161imi orodji in informacijami, se zdi, da je filozofski izziv \u0161e vedno enak: kako ohraniti stabilnost v svetu, kjer je edina stalnica sprememba? In ali se lahko s temi odlo\u010ditvami izognemo globljim, neizogibnim posledicam, ki jih narekuje na\u0161a lastna narava?<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3131bd1 cmsmasters-block-default cmsmasters-sticky-default elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"3131bd1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/new.bizz.io\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/DALL\u00b7E-2024-09-22-10.48.37-A-visualization-of-the-global-economy-represented-as-a-large-bubble-with-a-question-mark-hanging-over-it-symbolizing-uncertainty.-Icons-of-people-an-30x30.webp\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-36627 cmsmasters_img cmsmasters-lazyload lazyload\" alt=\"\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" 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        "rendered": "<p>Filozofski razmislek o tokovih gospodarske politike<\/p>",
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